Complete guide to Counter-Strike 2 weapon cases. Learn about case drop odds, best cases for rare skins, knife probabilities, and how the case system works in CS2.
All CS2 cases use the same drop rate system. Here are the official odds for each rarity tier:
Mil-Spec (Blue)
Most common drops
Restricted (Purple)
Uncommon drops
Classified (Pink)
Rare drops
Covert (Red)
Very rare drops
Knife/Gloves (Gold)
Exceedingly rare
Note: Knife and glove drops have approximately 1 in 385 chance (≈0.26%). StatTrak™ items have a 10% chance of appearing across all rarities.
AWP Duality, M4A4 Temukau
Standard Knives
AWP Doodle Lore, M4A4 Temukau
Standard Knives
USP-S Printstream, AWP Chromatic Aberration
Standard Knives
Zeus x27 Olympus, USP-S Whiteout
Standard Knives + Kukri
Cases drop randomly after matches (with weekly drop limits), can be purchased on Steam Community Market, or obtained through in-game events and operations.
Opening a case requires a key ($2.50) or the case must be free-to-open. Each case opening guarantees one item from the case's collection based on the drop odds.
Case prices fluctuate based on demand, age, and contents. Newer cases tend to be more expensive, while older cases depreciate unless they contain highly sought-after items.
From a pure value perspective, consider these factors when choosing cases to open:
Dreams & Nightmares Case offers excellent covert skins (AWP Duality) at a low case price point.
Newer cases like Revolution and Kilowatt contain modern, sought-after designs that hold value better.
Cases introducing new knife types (like Kukri knives) can offer unique value propositions.
Important: CS2Bet.io focuses on match betting and predictions, not gambling. This guide is educational only. Case opening is essentially gambling with known odds that favor the house.
The odds of getting a knife from a CS2 case are approximately 1 in 385 (≈0.26%). This means on average, you'd need to open 385 cases to get one knife, costing around $962.50 in keys alone. Covert (red) skins have a 0.64% chance, meaning roughly 1 in 156 cases. Understanding these odds is crucial before opening cases.
All CS:GO cases carried over to Counter-Strike 2 unchanged. The same cases, odds, and key system apply. Legacy cases like the Chroma, Gamma, and Spectrum series remain available alongside newer CS2 cases. The case system is identical between CS:GO and CS2.
While case opening is a form of gambling, match betting offers different risk/reward dynamics. With CS2 betting, you can use knowledge of teams, maps, and form to make informed decisions. Case odds are fixed and always favor the house. For strategic gambling, check out our CS2 betting tips instead.
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